Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000998 0.001037 0.001076 0.001118 0.001164 0.001210 0.001263
2025-09-21 0.000924 0.000979 0.001037 0.001103 0.001176 0.001255 0.001346
2025-09-28 0.000871 0.000938 0.001011 0.001096 0.001193 0.001300 0.001430
2025-10-05 0.000809 0.000882 0.000963 0.001060 0.001172 0.001301 0.001461
2025-10-12 0.000774 0.000853 0.000942 0.001051 0.001180 0.001332 0.001527
2025-10-19 0.000749 0.000834 0.000931 0.001051 0.001198 0.001374 0.001607
2025-10-26 0.000721 0.000810 0.000913 0.001041 0.001202 0.001398 0.001664
2025-11-02 0.000703 0.000796 0.000905 0.001043 0.001219 0.001439 0.001744
2025-11-09 0.000682 0.000777 0.000890 0.001035 0.001223 0.001462 0.001802
2025-11-16 0.000660 0.000757 0.000872 0.001022 0.001218 0.001473 0.001843
2025-11-23 0.000654 0.000754 0.000876 0.001037 0.001250 0.001534 0.001956
2025-11-30 0.000643 0.000747 0.000873 0.001042 0.001270 0.001577 0.002047
2025-12-07 0.000626 0.000730 0.000859 0.001032 0.001270 0.001595 0.002103
2025-12-14 0.000608 0.000713 0.000842 0.001019 0.001263 0.001603 0.002143
2025-12-21 0.000594 0.000699 0.000831 0.001012 0.001265 0.001623 0.002204
2025-12-28 0.000571 0.000673 0.000801 0.000980 0.001230 0.001587 0.002173
2026-01-04 0.000558 0.000661 0.000790 0.000972 0.001229 0.001602 0.002225
2026-01-11 0.000550 0.000653 0.000786 0.000972 0.001240 0.001634 0.002307
2026-01-18 0.000538 0.000642 0.000774 0.000963 0.001237 0.001644 0.002354
2026-01-25 0.000531 0.000636 0.000771 0.000965 0.001250 0.001679 0.002444
2026-02-01 0.000521 0.000626 0.000762 0.000958 0.001249 0.001693 0.002499
2026-02-08 0.000510 0.000614 0.000749 0.000946 0.001240 0.001694 0.002529
2026-02-15 0.000508 0.000614 0.000754 0.000959 0.001269 0.001757 0.002680